Clean Sheet Odds Gameweek 4 FPL

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Gameweek 4
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📊 Multi-Week Outlook

Gameweek 4

Newcastle 47.6% 14.0% Wolves
Arsenal 45.6% 15.4% Nott'm Forest
Crystal Palace 43.2% 18.4% Sunderland
Fulham 36.4% 18.5% Leeds
Man City 35.4% 15.8% Man Utd
Everton 29.7% 27.3% Aston Villa
Bournemouth 26.2% 20.3% Brighton
West Ham 24.1% 32.7% Spurs
Brentford 19.1% 33.6% Chelsea
Burnley 15.7% 45.6% Liverpool

Sorted by Clean Sheet Probability

Rank GW Team Opponent H/A CS%
1 4
Newcastle
Wolves H 47.6%
2 4
Arsenal
Nott'm Forest H 45.6%
3 4
Liverpool
Burnley A 45.6%
4 4
Crystal Palace
Sunderland H 43.2%
5 4
Fulham
Leeds H 36.4%
6 4
Man City
Man Utd H 35.4%
7 4
Chelsea
Brentford A 33.6%
8 4
Spurs
West Ham A 32.7%
9 4
Everton
Aston Villa H 29.7%
10 4
Aston Villa
Everton A 27.3%
11 4
Bournemouth
Brighton H 26.2%
12 4
West Ham
Spurs H 24.1%
13 4
Brighton
Bournemouth A 20.3%
14 4
Brentford
Chelsea H 19.1%
15 4
Leeds
Fulham A 18.5%
16 4
Sunderland
Crystal Palace A 18.4%
17 4
Man Utd
Man City A 15.8%
18 4
Burnley
Liverpool H 15.7%
19 4
Nott'm Forest
Arsenal A 15.4%
20 4
Wolves
Newcastle A 14.0%

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Clean sheet odds are calculated using historical team performance data, including:

  • Team defensive strength - Goals conceded per match, clean sheet percentage
  • Opponent attacking strength - Goals scored per match, attacking form
  • Home/Away advantage - Teams typically perform better at home
  • Recent form - Last 5 games performance weighted more heavily
  • Head-to-head records - Historical performance between specific teams

The algorithm combines these factors to predict the probability of a clean sheet (0 goals conceded) for each team.

  • CS% - Clean Sheet Percentage (probability of keeping a clean sheet)
  • Def Contrib/90 - Defensive Contributions per 90 minutes (key for FPL bonus points)
  • Value Score - Defensive contributions divided by player cost (higher = better value)
  • Mins% - Percentage of total possible minutes played this season
  • BPS/90 - Bonus Points System points per 90 minutes
  • xGI/90 - Expected Goal Involvements per 90 minutes
  • xGC/90 - Expected Goals Conceded per 90 minutes
  • Form - Average points per game in recent matches

For Defenders:

  • Look for teams with high CS% (30%+) over multiple gameweeks
  • Prioritize players with high Def Contrib/90 for bonus points
  • Check Mins% to ensure the player actually plays
  • Consider Value Score for budget-friendly options

For Goalkeepers:

  • Focus on Saves/90 for consistent points even without clean sheets
  • Look for teams with good CS% but also high save potential
  • Consider penalty save potential for bonus points

Teams might not appear in the suggestions if:

  • Low clean sheet odds - Average CS% below 30% over selected weeks
  • Insufficient data - Not enough completed matches for reliable statistics
  • Player availability - No defenders/goalkeepers meeting the minimum criteria
  • Injury status - Key players marked as injured or doubtful

Try adjusting the filters (weeks, ownership, cost) to see more options.

The data is updated in real-time from the official FPL API, including:

  • Player statistics - Updated after each match
  • Team performance - Refreshed with latest results
  • Injury status - Updated as news becomes available
  • Ownership percentages - Live data from FPL

For the most accurate predictions, check back regularly, especially after matchdays.

Single Gameweek View:

  • Shows clean sheet odds for one specific gameweek
  • Perfect for short-term decisions and transfers
  • Includes detailed team statistics for that week's fixtures

Multi-Week Outlook:

  • Shows average clean sheet odds over multiple gameweeks
  • Better for long-term planning and team structure
  • Helps identify teams with consistent defensive potential

Use the outlook for planning your team, then check individual gameweeks for specific decisions.

Key takeaways

  • Highest CS%: Newcastle (47.6%) vs Wolves
  • Best away shout: Liverpool (45.6%) at Burnley
  • Solid differential: West Ham (24.1%) vs Spurs
  • Lowest CS%: Wolves (14.0%) at Newcastle

Player suggestions (DEF only)

Fit defenders with high defensive contributions and clean sheet potential. Ranked by Defensive Contributions per 90 - the key FPL metric for defender bonus points.

  • Newcastle — Highest CS%: Burn (£5.0, 5.8% TSB, 32pts (6.4 PPG), Def Contrib/90 9.0, 96.8% mins, BPS/90 20.6, Form 5.8), Livramento (£5.1, 9.6% TSB, 31pts (6.2 PPG), Def Contrib/90 3.0, 96.8% mins, BPS/90 22.8, Form 5.5)
  • Liverpool — Best away shout: Virgil (£6.1, 29.8% TSB, 26pts (5.2 PPG), Def Contrib/90 12.0, 96.8% mins, BPS/90 18.2, Form 5.8), Kerkez (£5.9, 5.2% TSB, 11pts (2.2 PPG), Def Contrib/90 8.4, 78.7% mins, BPS/90 13.0, Form 2.8)
  • West Ham — Differential (≤10% TSB): Mavropanos (£4.4, 0.1% TSB, 12pts (4.0 PPG), Def Contrib/90 9.3, 58.1% mins, BPS/90 12.3, Form 4.0), Kilman (£4.4, 0.2% TSB, 9pts (1.8 PPG), Def Contrib/90 8.4, 96.8% mins, BPS/90 4.0, Form 3.0)
  • Wolves — Popular to avoid: Agbadou (£4.5, 0.4% TSB, 12pts (2.4 PPG), Def Contrib/90 10.4, 96.8% mins, BPS/90 8.0, Form 2.7), Krejčí (£4.5, 0.0% TSB, 8pts (4.0 PPG), Def Contrib/90 6.0, 38.7% mins, BPS/90 8.0, Form 2.7)